A scapegoat is a person or group who gets unfairly blamed for the wrongdoings, misdeeds, or crimes of others. Scapegoating is the act of doing this to someone.
The term comes originally from the Bible, in a story from Leviticus where a Jewish chief priest symbolically laid the sins of the people on a goat before releasing it into the wilderness. The goat psychologically cleansed the bad deeds of the population, serving as a convenient mechanism for group healing.
The modern scapegoat
In contemporary times the scapegoat metaphor is used to describe situations where a guilty party gets away scot-free by loudly and vociferously blaming an innocent “enemy” instead. This can be on a small scale like a workplace or a family, but it can also be on a larger scale within society — labelling entire groups or racial identities as “enemies” fictitiously and thus, dangerously.
Scapegoats have a close cousin in the political realm, in the “Us vs. Them” core dynamic of fascism. Fascists essentially pretend that only Outsiders are dangerous, because it gives anxious people the illusion of safety. This ideology increases the followers’ dependency on the in-group, to the point of hero worship or even cult worship.
The illusion of control
Scapegoating is often driven by prejudice and bigotry, fear, and a need to maintain the status quo. When people feel threatened, either by external factors such as economic or political instability or internal factors such as a sense of personal inadequacy, they may look for someone to blame. Scapegoating can provide a sense of control and empowerment, allowing people to believe that they are doing something to address the problem. However, this illusion of control comes at the cost of dehumanizing and harming others.
Scapegoating can have serious consequences for individuals and communities. The scapegoated individuals or groups can become marginalized, ostracized, and stigmatized. They can experience discrimination, harassment, and violence, both on a personal and group level. Moreover, scapegoating can distract attention from the real problems and prevent work towards constructive solutions. By focusing on blaming individuals or groups rather than addressing the root causes of problems, scapegoating can perpetuate injustice and inequality.
Dealing with scapegoating
Preventing scapegoating requires recognizing its underlying causes and addressing them. This can involve promoting empathy, understanding, and open communication, and fostering a sense of community and shared responsibility. It can also involve challenging the narratives that promote scapegoating and promoting a more nuanced understanding of complex issues, with less black and white thinking. Educating people about the dangers of scapegoating and the benefits of cooperation and collaboration can also help to prevent it.
Scapegoating is a harmful and unjust practice that involves blaming individuals or groups for the problems of a larger community. It can have serious consequences for the scapegoated individuals or groups and perpetuate injustice and inequality. Preventing scapegoating requires recognizing its underlying causes, promoting empathy and understanding, and challenging the narratives that promote it. By working together and taking responsibility for our collective well-being, there’s no reason why we can’t build a more just and equitable society.
Mental models are different ways of mapping or viewing a system or a problem. They are frameworks that help explain what’s going on, and predict what’s likely to happen next.
Model thinking is an excellent way of improving our cognition and decision making abilities. Thinking in models helps us understand how new concepts fit with older observations, and what theories and metaphors are likely to endure.
They are useful in strategy, decision-making, analysis, planning, and a broad range of applications in both our personal and professional lives. It’s a good investment to spend time learning models — which are most typically extensible outside their original field of interest.
Often more than one model can apply to a situation or problem. Models are useful for picturing the issue in a different way, through a different lens — and perhaps to see something before unseen. They can help us try out different scenarios with ideas or personas.
Top Models and Concepts
We all have learnings in our lives we consider more precious than others — explanations and predictions that endure and keep on giving, versus those that fade away. Our core models form the backbone of our thinking and decision-making throughout our lives; it’s our grab bag of problem solving tools — and we want to have a resilient Swiss Army Knife at the ready at all times. These mental models help us understand a complex world, and prepare for all the changes that are inevitably ahead.
This set of top models below is my personal “desert island” set of model thinking concepts. These are the ones I really wouldn’t want to be caught dead leaving the house without.
Once these are on lock, head over to the unabridged models section for more model thinking goodness!
I will continue to add to this list over time as well as fill in the number of holes that remain in the set. Learning about new mental models is one of my favorite activities — it’s the closest thing to a superpower I can think of.
Term
Type
Topic
Definition
80/20 rule
Model
Economics
Also known as a power law, or the Pareto Principle
absolute advantage
Term
Economics
The ability of a party to produce a product or service more efficiently than any of its competitors.
absolute value
Term
Math
The value of a function irrespective of its sign (positive or negative). Its distance from zero, expressed as a positive.
accessibility
Term
Psychology
How easy something is to call to mind
acquittal
Legal precedent
Law
A judgment of not guilty in a criminal trial
activation energy
Term
Science
A chemistry term that describes the minimum energy required for a chemical system to react; the amount of energy required to get two or more compounds to react.
adverse selection
Term
Economics
Insurance phenomenon in which buyers or sellers in a transaction can use insider knowledge to unfairly get a better advantage over the other party or parties
a fortiori
Logic
Logic
From the Latin, "from a stronger argument," the phrase refers to conclusions for which there is stronger evidence than a previously accepted one.
akrasia
Term
Psychology
A state of mind where someone acts against their own better judgment due to weakness of will.
alea iacta est
Metaphor
Metaphor
In Latin, "the die is cast" -- attributed to Julius Caesar as he crossed the river Rubicon, leading an attack on Rome: a metaphor for a point of no return.
allocation
Method
Economics
Distributing resources, assets, or funds amongs recipients.
"All the world's a stageβ
Metaphor
Arts
Shakespearean metaphor likening culture to a theatrical performance: "And all the men and women merely players;
They have their exits and their entrances ..."
βWilliam Shakespeare, As You Like It
Amara's Law
Theory
Science
We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.
annuity
Term
Economics
A series of regular payments at equal intervals.
antifragility
Model
Economics
Things that can benefit from disorder, and grow stronger amidst chaos. When something grows stronger under stress; when there is more upside to downside of experiencing a shock to the system.
antimatter
Theory
Science
Antimatter particles are the precise opposite charge and spin from their matter counterparts, but identical otherwise.
appreciation
Model
Economics
The tendency of an asset to appreciate, or grow, with value over time.
a priori
Logic
Philosophy
Information deduced from logical precedents versus empirical observation.
arbitrage
Model
Economics
A method of turning profit via simultaneous purchase and sale of the same assets in different markets, benefiting from the differences in listed price in various geographical regions.
archetypes
Symbol
Philosophy
An ideal type; a model after which others are fashioned.
arrow of time
Theory
Science
Theory of physics stating an asymmetry of time -- that time has a one-way direction in which the entropy of the universe is only increasing. Although human beings perceive the past as being different from the future -- and that we remember the past, but not the future -- intrinsically there is nothing in the structure of the universe that defines past from future. Time is instead an emergent feature.
artificia docuit fames
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
Latin saying meaning, "sophistication is born out of hunger" -- a metaphor for innovation and genius being awakened by challenge, difficulty, and constraints.
ASCII
Term
Technology
American Standard Code for Information Interchange: a standard character translation table used by computers to convert numerical representations into printable characters.
asking a fish about water
Metaphor
Metaphor
There are these two young fish swimming along, and they happen to meet an older fish swimming the other way, who nods at them and says, βMorning, boys. Howβs the water?β And the two young fish swim on for a bit, and then eventually one of them looks over at the other and goes, βWhat the hell is water?β
asset
Term
Economics
A valuable object or good.
astroturfing
Method
Politics
The deceptive political practice of paying operatives to pose as members of the public engaging in "grassroots protest" as a way of adding plausible deniability as well as amplification of their point of view.
asymmetric encryption
Term
Computer Science
Also known as public-key cryptography, asymmetric encryption encrypts and decrypts the data using two separate keys that are related mathematically (a public and a private key).
asymptote
Term
Math
The graph of a curve as it is approaching a numerical value or limit, but never quite reaching it.
autophagy
Experimental finding
Biology, Medicine
The body's way of cleaning out damaged cells and replace them with newer, healthier cells. Literally, "self-eating."
availability bias
Model
Psychology
Cognitive distortion arising from the unconscious preference for information that is recent rather than what is representative.
average
Method
Math
A measure of central tendency of a set of data, whether the mean, media, or mode.
balance sheet
Method
Economics
A financial document showing the book value of a company, i.e. how much it's worth.
balancing loop
Model
Systems theory
A balancing loop attempts to move a current state (the way things are) to a desired state (goal or objective) though an action (thing(s) done to reach the goal).The balancing loop is one of the two foundational structures of systems thinking, along with the Reinforcing Loop. A balancing loop is representative of any situation where there is a goal or an objective and action is taken to achieve that goal or objective.
Baldwin Effect
Model
Science
As organisms learn to shape their environment, they can alter the path of evolution. For example, with the advent of dairy farming, selection pressures began favoring lactose absorption genes in humans.
bank reserves
Term
Economics
Cash minimums banks must have on hand to meet regulatory requirements ensuring the financial system is equipped to handle periodic shocks in demand for withdrawals.
bank run
Term
Economics
Economic term for when a large group of bank depositors withdraw their money all at once -- once a common occurrence that rarely happens anymore in the modern world.
base conversion
Math
Math
The base is how many numbers there are in a number system; we use base 10 primarily, and computers use base 2, aka binary. Base conversion is the method of converting numbers from one base system to another.
Base Rate Fallacy
Model
Psychology
A type of fallacy in which people tend to ignore the general prevalence of something in favor of specific anecdotes.
base weighting
Math
Statistics
Bayes' Theorem
Method
Math
A mathematical method of determining the updated probability of a certain event or case, given new information.
bend the knee
Metaphor
Social psychology
Give up one's own opinion and swear fealty to a higher authority.
beta
Method
Economics
In finance, a term that refers to investments tracking the broad market performance of an exchange or industry sector
The Big Bang
Model
Science
The massive explosion which spawned our entire universe, back at the beginning of time.
The Big Crunch
Model
Science
binary numbers
Math
Math
binomial distribution
Math
Statistics
Binomial Theorem
Theory
Math
black hole
Theory
Science
Black-Scholes model
Model
Economics
Black Swan
Model
Economics
A highly improbable and unexpected event -- which yet occurs with more frequency than one might generally assume.
blockchain
Term
Technology
The basis of cryptocurrency, blockchain technology is a kind of public ledger or shared database that records transactions transparently and out in the open, in a way that anyone can access or verify.
boiling frog
Metaphor
Philosophy
A metaphor for the common occurence of slow, gradual changes over time not being noticed, like the (contested) legend of a scienfitic experiment that boiling a frog alive by starting with tepid water and slowly turning up the temperature.
bond
Method
Economics
Boyle's Law
Scientific Law
Science
A scientific law that describes the relationship between the pressure and the volume of a confined gas.
boundary object
Theory
Technology
Information science concept describing information used in different ways, by different communities, for collaborative work through scales.
bounded rationality
Experimental finding
Psychology
A central challenge to the c. 1776 ideas of Adam Smith regarding the Invisible Hand of markets, this 20th c. psychological theory posits that rather than making optimized rational decisions, at most times the average person is "satisficing" or making the most expedient choice under considerable constraints and lack of available information
bricolage
Method
Arts
Combination of many types and forms into one piece; a pastiche or mashup of style and cultural referents
broken windows theory
Theory
Law
Butterfly Effect
Model
Science
bystander effect
Experimental finding
Psychology
cadence
Term
Arts
camel's nose
Metaphor
Philosophy
a metaphor describing how allowing a smaller innocuous act may lead to larger acts that are undesirable
capital gains
Term
Economics
Money that is earned as a result of a stock investment appreciating in value β the capital "gains in value"
capital requirements
Economics
Actual cash on hand for banks to theoretically offer at a given time, with the rest lended out as leverage
carbon-14
Scientific Law
Science
carbon dating
Method
Science
A way to scientifically determine the age of an organic object by radioactive decay.
carpe diem
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
In Latin, "seize the day" -- a reference often used to motivate oneself and others to act boldly and live vigorously in the moment.
cartel
Economics
catalyst
Model
Science
categorical data
Math
causa-sui project
Theory
Psychology
cause and effect
Model
caveat emptor
Ancient Wisdom
Strategy
"Beware, the buyer" in Latin -- a reference to a warning about what one is getting into.
cellular automata
Math
Central Limit Theorem
Math
Statistics
In probability theory, the CLT establishes that independent random variables when measured will tend towards the normal distribution.
central tendency
Math
Statistics
A measure of the midpoint of a data set; includes mean, median, and mode.
ceteris paribus
Method
Economics
"All other things being equal"; holding the effects of other variables constant to determine the effects on a single variable of interest.
charge preservation
Science
charlatan
Psychology
one who aspires to wealth &/or fame through trickery and deception
Chesterton's Fence
Model
Metaphor
chilling effect
Term
History
The inhibition of one's legitimate exercise of natural and legal rights by threat of legal sanction.
cognitive bias
Experimental finding
Psychology
collapse
Model
Systems theory
comparative advantage
Economics
composite events
Statistics
in probability
compound interest
Model
Economics
conditionals
Math
Condorcet Jury Theorem
Math
Statistics
confidence interval
Statistics
the range of values over which a predicted outcome may lie; the amount of certainty one has about the predicted value falling within the estimated range
confirmation bias
Experimental finding
Psychology
conflation
Psychology
consent of the governed
Philosophy
Politics
Concept of political philosophy in which a government's legitimacy and right to use state power is only justified if consented to by the people over whom said power is wielded.
consequentialism
Philosophy
conservation of energy
Scientific Law
Chemistry
In a closed system, total energy remains constant.
conservation of mass
Scientific Law
Physics
In a closed system, mass remains constant.
conservation of momentum
Scientific Law
Physics
In a closed system, momentum remains constant.
constraints
Math
Consumer Sentiment Index
Economics
continuous vs. discrete variables
Statistics
Copernican theory of the solar system
Scientific Law
Science
correlation
Statistics
correlation coefficient
Statistics
correlation is not causation
Scientific Law
Statistics
cosine
Math
Math
counterfactual
countervailing power
Economics
Economist John Kenneth Galbraith's concept for how collective worker power is needed to balance against growing corporatism in the economy.
creative destruction
Model
Economics
Economist Joseph Shumpeter's idea for how the business cycle works: by innovation disrupting established processes and industries and forcing change into markets, often destructively and swiftly.
credo quia absurdum
"I believe because it is absurd" β Tertullian's defense of belief in the miracles attributed to Christ
critical mass
Science
crossing the Rubicon
Metaphor
History
Making a decision from which there is no turning back; a reference to Julius Caesar's overthrow of the Roman republic to found the Roman Empire in 49 BCE.
cross-sectional data
Math
crowdfunding
Economics
crowdsourcing
Method
Systems theory
cryptocurrency
Economics
Dark Matter
Theory
Science
dead hand of the past
Philosophy
History
Problem inherent in constitutional political philosophy, where eventually a people becomes ruled by "masters" no longer alive, who rule by "fiat" via a document, from beyond the grave (Thomas Jefferson's concept)
death spiral
decision theory
Systems theory
decision tree
Method
Computer Science
de minimis
Legal precedent
Law
depreciation
Method
Economics
derivatives
Math
diminshing marginal utility (DMU)
Model
Economics
directory structure
Computers
dispersion
Math
Statistics
the amount of variation within a set of data; how spread out the data points are from each other
distributions
Math
Statistics
divergent thinking
Psychology
diversity
Experimental finding
Science
Diversity Prediction Theorem
dividend payments
Method
Economics
Periodic, usually quarterly, payouts to stockholders of the company when posting profits. Along with capital gains, one of the 2 primary reasons to invest in stocks.
Dodd-Frank Act of 2010
Legal precedent
Economics
definitive financial regulation of the financial industry following the 2007-8 financial crisis
domain dependence
Doppler Effect
Scientific Law
Physics
double helix
doxa
Social psychology
common belief or opinion
Drake Equation
Model
Science
Estimation of the number of technological civilizations that might exist in the universe.
dualism
Philosophy
Dunbar number
Theory
Psychology
Dunning-Kruger Effect
Experimental finding
Psychology
A cognitive bias in which people mistakenly assess their cognitive ability as higher than it actually is, because they cannot recognize their incompetence in comparison to others.
Duverger's Law
Model
Politics
Holds that plurality-rule elections within single member districts β such as the structure found in the U.S. β tend to favor two-party systems
Easterlin paradox
Experimental finding
Economics
Beyond a certain point, countries don't get happier as they get richer.
economies of scale
Economics
edge case
Metaphor
Science
elasticity; price elasticity
Model
Economics
The ability of pricing mechanisms to respond quickly or less quickly to changes in prevailing conditions.
elasticity of demand
Model
Economics
elasticity of supply
Model
Economics
electromagnetic spectrum
Scientific Law
Science
electron cloud
Model
Science
Refers to the true nature of an electron's existence around an atom, wherein its location in space is not a definite point, but a fuzzy region of probable occurence.
elephants and flies
Metaphor
Economics
Sales concept to quickly segment leads into size buckets, from elephants > deers > rabbits > mice > flies.
elephant and rider
Model
Psychology
Psychological idea about how our unconscious and semi-conscious desires dominate us, but can be directed by reason (Jonathan Haidt et al)
embargo
Legal precedent
Economics
Emperor's New Clothes
Metaphor
Government
encryption
Math
ensemble learning
Method
Technology
entropy
Scientific Law
Science
The disorder of a system increases over time.
epistemology
Philosophy
e pluribus unum
Symbol
Politics
Latin: "one out of many" β one of several phrases on the American dollar bill, it refers to the unity of the nation as made up of its many peoples and as such, signifies the republic.
equality under law
Legal precedent
Politics
An ancient principle of vital importance to almost every constitution in the world, stating that all people should be treated equally in the eyes of the law, and that all individuals are subject to the same set of laws
equilibrium
Science
A resting condition all systems seek, in which all competing inflows and outflows are in balance.
equity
Economics
equity crowdfunding
Economics
error-embracing
Psychology
event horizon
Scientific Law
Physics
A boundary beyond which events cannot affect on observer, such as the edge of a black hole.
evolution
Scientific Law
Science
exception handling
Method
Computer Science
The process of responding to the occurrence of exceptions -- unexpected conditions that throw the application into an error state and must be resolved before continuing.
exchange rates
Economics
The value of one country's currency as measured against another
existentialism
Philosophy
exit strategy
Method
Economics
externalities
Economics
extrapolation
Statistics
factorial
Math
factum tacendo, crimen facias acrius
Philosophy
He who does not stop a crime is an accomplice.
fact /value problem
Philosophy
fake news
Media
false negatives
Logic
Science
false positives
Logic
Science
false consensus effect
Experimental finding
Social psychology
falsifiability
Logic
Science
Ability to be proven untrue; a requirement for a theory to be called scientific.
Feynman Technique
Method
Science
A method of learning and remembering difficult concepts by simplifying them until you can explain it to a new student or layperson who knows nothing about that concept.
fiat money
Economics
fiduciary duty
Legal precedent
Economics
fifth column
Model
Politics
A group who unites in secret to undermine a larger group from within.
file system
Metaphor
Computer Science
filter bubble
Metaphor
Social psychology
first mover advantage
Experimental finding
Strategy
first principles
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
fishing expedition
Metaphor
fitness function
Term
Science
In AI, refers to a set of selection criteria applied to a set of potential solutions to a problem to allow only the better candidates to survive to the next generation.
flΓ’neur
Term
Arts
force multiplier
Model
Science
fractals
Math
Computer Science
fractional lending
Method
Economics
Fractional reserve banking is the traditional way of doing business, in which banks loan out multiples of the assets they actually have on hand. This falls apart if there is ever a run on the bank, when every client demands their money back at the same time.
fractions
Term
Math
fragility
Philosophy
framing
Psychology
free trade
Method
Economics
free will
Philosophy
Philosophy
freshwater vs. saltwater economists
Economics
Friend of the Court filing
Law
FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt)
Social psychology
fundamental attribution error
Experimental finding
Psychology
future value
Economics
gain
Term
Arts
In audio recording, a control that allows more or less of the source sound into the channel being recorded.
game theory
Math
Gates' Law
Theory
Philosophy
The idea that software development speed halves every 18 months, negating the acceleratory effects of Moore's Law and preventing computing from leaping greatly forward.
Gaussian distribution
Term
Statistics
the Normal distribution
GDP (Gross Domestic Product)
Model
Economics
The sum of all public and private goods produced within a given period; a measure of a country's economic health.
general relativity
Theory
Science
general will
Model
Government
generalists and specialists
Philosophy
genetic algorithms
Science
An approach to AI based on evolutionary models, in which multiple candidate solutions to a problem are generated randomly by mutation and recombination, then iterated over thousands of generations through fitness functions to weed out the best of each generation.
germ theory of disease
Scientific Law
Gettier problem
Philosophy
gilding the lilly
Metaphor
Arts
Speaking so floridly of a subject that one actually tarnishes its natural beauty.
GOFAI
Technology
"Good Old-Fashioned Artificial Intelligence" β reference to the style and general algorithmic approach of early artificial intelligence work, which fell out of popularity over the decades in favor of more organic neural net and evolutionary approaches.
Golden calf
Golden Mean
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
Aristotelian theory of an ideal balance point between the many extremes we face in life; he advocated harmony between the various spheres of life for an experience of happiness.
Golden Rule
Ancient Wisdom
Culture
"Do unto others, as you would have them do unto you" is the essence of this ancient wisdom, often used as a shorthand version of Jesus's core teaching.
Goldilocks Zone
Model
gold standard
Legal precedent
Economics
gravity
Scientific Law
Science
gravity waves
Physics
habeas corpus
Legal precedent
Law
habitus
Theory
Social psychology
Hanlon's Razor
Model
Philosophy
never attribute to malice what is adequately described by carelessness
hard determinism
Philosophy
harmonics
Arts
hearts and minds
Politics
hedge funds
Economics
hedonism
Philosophy
Philosophy
Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
Theory
Science
hexadecimal numbers
Term
Math
base 6
heuristics
Model
Psychology
Mental shortcuts that we do as a matter of routine, especially when we're stressed or under other types of cognitive constraints.
hormesis
Science
When a small dose of a toxic substance is actually beneficial to the living thing that ingests it
hydra
Metaphor
iatrogenics
Health
harm done by the healer
ice core dating
Method
Science
id, ego, superego
Model
Psychology
Freud's psychological model of the conscious and unconscious mind.
implicit cost
Economics
Imposter Syndrome
Model
Psychology
A psychological pattern in which one doubts their own accomplishments and has a generalized fear of being exposed as a fraud.
index number; indexing
Statistics
inferior goods
Economics
inflation
Model
Economics
inflection point
Math
The point of a curve at which a change in the direction of the curve occurs.
intellectual property
Legal precedent
Economics
IP
interest
Model
Economics
interest rate
Economics
internal rate of return (IRR)
Economics
Internet of Things (IoT)
Term
Technology
intersection
Math
interventionism
Social psychology
Invisible Hand
Theory
Economics
IP addresses
Term
Technology
iron law of oligarchy
Theory
Politics
Political theory positing that no matter how democratic a group may start out, over time it will develop into a bureaucracy ruled by a small handful.
It from Bit
Theory
Physics
John Wheeler's theory about the fundamental informational nature of the universe
Keynesian economics
Theory
Economics
Keynesian Put
Model
Economics
keystone
Kronos Effect
Model
Economics
the tendency of a successful corporation to seek to acquire and/or drive its upstart competitors out of business
Laffer Curve
Theory
Economics
law of excluded middle
Law of Large Numbers
Scientific Law
Math
As the number of coin tosses approaches infinity, the number of heads encountered will converge on 0.5; helpful in calculations of probability.
least-barricaded gate
Metaphor
Politics
Trotsky's metaphor of how social revolutions can take hold more easily in already weakened societies.
lecturing birds how to fly
Metaphor
Metaphor
length contraction
Model
Physics
less is more
Philosophy
Metaphor
L'etat c'est moi
Philosophy
Politics
"I am the stateβ
leverage
Economics
lifeboat ethics
Philosophy
Philosophy
light-weight process
Computer Science
limit of a function
Term
Math
if the graph of an equation seems to approach a numerical value but never quite reaches it, we say that number is the limit of the function (approaching from the negative or positive direction; sometimes directionality is important)
limiting factor
Model
Systems Theory
linear regression
Method
Math
liquidity
Economics
local min
Model
Systems Theory
idea that to grow out of a stasis or plateau, you likely have to endure a period of "setback" that is a lower dip or minimum value from where you are now, but is what's required to get over the activation energy to reach the next level
locus of control
logarithm
Math
logical fallacies
Philosophy
long tail
Model
Math
In a power law distribution (of population, ages, items, etc.), the region of the graph that tapers off quickly after the initial segment of high data points
loss aversion
Experimental finding
Psychology
Lost Einsteins
Theory
Culture
http://doctorparadox.net/models/lost-einsteins/
loyalists and mercenaries
Metaphor
Systems Theory
maker's time and manager's time
Model
Systems Theory
M1
Economics
M2
Economics
mandala
Ancient Wisdom
Religion
Introcate and elaborate patterns created with colored sand by Buddhist monks, who blow away their creations at the end to signify their celebration of impermanence.
Manichaean
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
a narrowly-defined dualistic worldview of good against evil
man on horseback
Metaphor
Synonym for a demagogue. Comes from French general Georges Ernest Boulanger, and refers to a military leader who presents himself as the savior of the country during a crisis and either assumes or threatens to assume dictatorial powers.
map is not the territory
Metaphor
Metaphor
A phrase reminding us that our mental picture of a thing is not the same as the actual thing itself
margin of error
Math
Statistics
How much uncertainty there is in the results; a percentage the estimate may be bounded by.
marginal benefit
Economics
marginal cost
Economics
marginal returns
Economics
marginal utility
Economics
market share
Economics
Markov chain
Term
Math
Maslow's Hierarchy of needs
Model
Psychology
mean
Math
Statistics
The average value of the numbers in a data set; take the sum of all values and divide by the total number of values in the set.
median
Math
Statistics
Like mean, another way to describe the central tendency of a data set.
Median Voter Theorem
Theory
Politics
megalopsychon
Philosophy
Philosophy
Concept in Aristotelian ethics of living with grandeur and taking risks with dignity; being nonsmall
mens rea
Legal precedent
Law
"guilty mind" β establishing the intent of a perp can help to establish criminal liability
mercantilism
Theory
Economics
meritocracy
Model
Systems Theory
metaphysics
Philosophy
Philosophy
mirror neurons
Experimental finding
Science
mode
Math
Statistics
The frequency with which each data point exists in the set.
monopoly
Model
Economics
Market condition in which there exists only one seller of a resource.
monopsony
Model
Economics
Market condition in which there exists only one buyer of a resource.
Moore's Law
Theory
Technology
Named after Gordon Moore, the model predicts the doubling of transistors on a circuit of equivalent size every 18 months to 2 years. This has many consequences for both technology and economics, including the predictable drop in price of generating the same amount of computing power each period.
moral hazard
Model
Economics
when one party takes on additional risk, knowing that other parties will bear the brunt of the risk in event of a loss
Moravec's Paradox
MVP (minimum viable product)
Term
Economics
naive cynicism
Psychology
State of mind in which people believe others to have more egocentric bias than is warranted or is actually the case.
Narcissus & Echo
Ancient Wisdom
Metaphor
Nash Equilibrium
Theory
Math
nasty, brutish, and short
Theory
Philosophy
natural laws
Science
natural selection
Scientific Law
Science
necessity is the mother of invention
Common Wisdom
Culture
negative externalities
Model
Economics
negative interest rates
Method
Economics
neomania
Experimental finding
Social psychology
love of the modern for its own sake
neural net
Term
Technology
net present value (NPV)
Model
Economics
neuroplasticity
Experimental finding
Science
Newton's first law
Scientific Law
Science
An object in motion will tend to stay in motion, unless acted upon by a force.
Newton's second law
Scientific Law
Science
F = ma, or an object of mass m feeling a force F will tend to accelerate by an amount a.
Newton's third law
Scientific Law
Science
When 2 objects interact, they each apply force on the other in equal amounts magnitude, in the opposite direction.
nodes
Term
Math
noosphere
Thought Experiment
Data science
Sphere of human thought β all interacting minds on earth. An early 1900s concept from Teilhard de Chardin
nominal figures
Economics
nonlinearity
Math
Normal distribution
Scientific Law
Math
normal goods
Economics
normalized weighted average
Statistics
normative and descriptive
Philosophy
noumena
Philosophy
novus ordo seclorum
Symbol
Government
A new order for the ages; Latin phrase seen on the American dollar bill.
null hypothesis
Method
Science
observer effect
Experimental finding
Science
Occam's Razor
Theory
Philosophy
A philosophical rule of thumb that favors the simplest explanation. Also known as the "law of parsimony."
octal numbers
Math
Computer Science
base 8
oligopoly
Term
Economics
omphalos
Politics
opportunity cost
Model
Economics
What you miss out on by using a resource in a certain way -- what you would have done with the resource otherwise; what alternative use you would have put it to.
options
Economics
orders of magnitude
Scientific Law
Math
ordinally ranked data
Statistics
organizational debt
Economics
oscillations
Science
out-group bias
Experimental finding
Social psychology
outlier
Model
Math
Data points that fall well outside of the normal distribution or expected distribution of a data set.
paradox
Model
Logic
A self-contradicting statement or logically impossible event.
paragon
Model
Culture
A standard against which something can be judged β an exemplar example of a thing
Pareto Principle
Experimental finding
Economics
Another term for the 80/20 Rule
path dependent
Math
Computer Science
Pavlovian response
Experimental finding
Science
pax Romana
Legal precedent
History
pearls before swine
Metaphor
Culture
The sense of wasting one's efforts for people who don't really appreciate them.
P/E Ratio
Method
Economics
Price to earnings ratio: standard measure of relative stock performance
permutations
Math
Computer Science
Peter Principle
Theory
Systems Theory
Theory that individuals within corporate and other organizational hierarchies will rise to the highest level at which they become incompetent in their job duties.
phase shift
Scientific Law
Science
The ability of matter to change phases, most famously water from liquid to ice to vapor and back again.
philosopher kings
Ancient Wisdom
Philosopher's Stone
Unsolved Mystery
phonemes
Experimental finding
plant a seed
Metaphor
Platonic forms
Model
Platonicity
Philosophy
adherence to crisp abstract theory & forms that blind us to the mess of actual reality
Plato's Cave
Model
Philosophy
Allegory in Plato's Republic about a cave dweller whose only picture of reality is the shadow on the cave wall thrown by the fire.
pluralism
Government
point of no return
Metaphor
Culture
polling
Method
Statistics
Pollyanna Principle
Model
Psychology
The tendency for people to remember pleasant events more accurately than unpleasant ones.
populism
Government
positron
Scientific Law
Physics
an antimatter electron
Potemkin Village Effect
Model
Systems Theory
Tendency of systems to create the appearance of functioning normally β to appease the operators who wish it so β even when they are not.
precision
Math
present value
Economics
The expected current value of an income stream.
price ceiling
Economics
price floor
Economics
prima facie
principle of indifference
Statistics
In probability, when there is no basis to choose some outcomes as more likely than others, they are given equal weight (1/2 chance of a particular side of a coin, 1/52 to get a particular card from a deck, etc.).
Prisoner's Dilemma
Thought Experiment
Math
private equity (PE)
Method
Economics
probability
Math
probability distribution
Math
Statistics
Procrustean bed
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
Synonymous with ruthlessly enforcing conformity, the phrase comes from a Greek tale of extreme "form fitting" on the part of Poseidon's son Procrustes, a robber who is said to have attacked victims by cutting off men's legs or stretching them on racks accordingly to fit an iron bed size.
profit
Legal precedent
Economics
propaganda
Method
Social psychology
originally, a way to "propagate" any idea; used by both sides in WWI, it thereafter took on a sinister connotation when American & British citizens felt hoodwinked by their govt's use of it
proper frame
Physics
in physics, the frame of reference that accelerates with you and determines your age
proportionality
Model
Math
prospect theory
Psychology
proximate cause
Logic
proxy war
Term
Politics
pseudoscience
Method
Culture
PTSD
Psychology
punctuated equilibrium
Model
Science
putting legs on a snake
Metaphor
Pygmalian Effect
Social psychology
Pyrrhic victory
Metaphor
History
A victory in which the costs of winning far outweigh the rewards.
quantum computing
Method
Computer Science
quantum entanglement
Theory
Physics
quantum physics
Science
qubit
Science
quid pro quo
Legal precedent
Law
quota
r > q
Model
Economics
Thomas Piketty's elegant demonstration of the rise of inequality
random walks
Math
range
Statistics
In a set of numbers, the difference between the highest value and the lowest value in the data set.
rara avis
Ancient Wisdom
Culture
"Rare bird" in Latin; similar to an outlier. Someone who stands out.
rate of return
Economics
Reagonomics
Economics
realism
Philosophy
reality testing
Model
Psychology
Discerning the difference between inner and outer, and seeing events as they really are, and not just what we want them to be.
received wisdom
Ancient Wisdom
Religion
recursion
Method
Math
red shift
Scientific Law
Science
reductio ad absurdo
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
Collapsing things too far, in a way that destroys real significance.
reductio ad finem
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
To analyze to the end β break the concept down into its conponent parts.
redundancy
Method
Systems Theory
Having multiple pathways within a system to accomplish the same task or achieve the same objective.
reference frame
Physics
A frame that does not accelerate; also known as a Lorentz frame.
regnat populus
regression analysis
Method
Statistics
reincarnation
Unsolved Mystery
Religion
reinforcing loop
Systems theory
relativity
Theory
Physics
Einstein's central insight that the experience or perceived passage of time depends greatly on the conditions of the observer, particularly with respect to velocity and gravity
resilience
Model
Systems Theory
Ability to bounce back into shape after having been pressed or stretched; elasticity. The ability to recover quickly.
respice finem
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
"Consider that you will die" β i.e. live life as you would in order to be proud of it by the time it's over.
res publica
Ancient Wisdom
Government
pertaining to the state
retrodiction
revenue
Economics
ripple effect
Experimental finding
Science
risk
Legal precedent
Economics
risk-weighted assets (RWAs)
Economics
root cause
Philosophy
Rosetta Stone
Experimental finding
History
Metaphorically, a key to unlocking the secrets of a given thing.
rounding
Method
Math
rounding error
Math
rule of law
Legal precedent
Philosophy
run on the bank
sampling
Method
Statistics
samsara
Religion
scarcity
Economics
Schelling's Tipping Model
SchrΓΆdinger's Cat
Theory
Physics
search intent
Term
Media
second-order thinking
selection bias
Experimental finding
Psychology
self-governance
Philosophy
set theory
Math
ship of Theseus
Ancient Wisdom
Metaphor
SIFI
Economics
systemically important financial institution; post-2008 financial crisis designation for banks deemed "too big to fail" (currently, firms holding more than $50b in assets)
sigma
Statistics
standard deviation, named for the Greek letter denoting the statistical term
signal path
Physics
significant figures
Math
aka "sig figs"
simulation
Philosophy
sine
Math
Physics
sine wave
Math
Physics
Single point of failure (SPoF)
Term
Computer Science
A part of a system that, when it fails, brings down the entire rest of the system or stops it from working properly
singularity
Theory
Science
A black hole.
SIR model
Model
Science
contagious disease modelling based on possible patient states (susceptible, infected, recovered)
site navigation
Method
Computer Science
six degrees of separation
Experimental finding
Psychology
six sigma
Method
Strategy
Motorola-originated concept of ensuring quality control to a very fine point, by ensuring that parts or other production outputs are manufactured to be within a certain quality range up to 6 times the standard deviation.
situational preparedness
Method
Strategy
skew
Math
Statistics
skin in the game
Ancient Wisdom
Economics
When someone has a stake in the outcome, they are more likely to keep their word in assist its fruition.
slope of a line
Math
Statistics
social contract
Legal precedent
Philosophy
Profoundly impactful document in political philosophy from Jean Jacques Rousseau in 18th c. France, refuting the rights of monarchs to rule the people
Socratic method
Method
Philosophy
Technique of instruction or conversation where the teacher or moderator proceeds by asking the student or pupil a serious of questions, enticing her or him to come up with their own answers to the issues related to the subject at hand.
solipsism
sorting
Math
special relativity
Scientific Law
Science
speech act theory
Theory
Philosophy
British philosopher J.L.Austin's concept that all uses of speech carry a performative aspect.
speed of light (c)
Scientific Law
Science
approx. 300 million meters per second
spread
Statistics
squaring the circle
Unsolved Mystery
A notorious philosophical problem first posed by Plato, the phrase has come to be used to allude to the grandiosity and infeasibility of someone's plans.
standard deviation
Math
Statistics
standing waves
Term
stare decisis
Legal precedent
Law
"It has been decided" β terminology used by a judge or court to indicate that the matter before them has already been decided by a previous ruling.
state of nature
Thought Experiment
Philosophy
status quo
Term
Culture
The way things currently are.
stochastic terrorism
Term
Social psychology
stocks and flows
Model
Systems Theory
Stoicism
Ancient Wisdom
Philosophy
Streisand Effect
Metaphor
Social psychology
When the act of attempting to hide information only makes it more prominently spread, especially via the Internet.
strict father morality
George Lakoff's terminology to describe the conservative worldview.
strict liability
Law
Crimes which have no mens rea requirement, such as rear-ending of another vehicle (where it is always the rear-enders' fault no matter what the circumstances.
subsidy
Economics
success to the successful
Systems theory
A reinforcing loop within complex system β especially economies β wherein the spoils of victory include the means to alter the rules of the game further in the favor of the previous winners.
summum malum
Ancient Wisdom
Politics
ultimate evil β some posit cruelty as this ultimate evil
supply and demand
Model
Economics
supply chain
Term
Economics
sword of Damocles
Ancient Wisdom
Metaphor
symmetric encryption
Term
tabula rasa
Ancient Wisdom
Metaphor
Blank slate
tachyon
Experimental finding
Science
hypothetical particle that travels faster than the speed of light
tangent
Method
Math
tariff
Legal precedent
Economics
tempus edax rerum
Ancient Wisdom
Arts
"Time devours everything." β Ovid
tempus fugit
Ancient Wisdom
Time flies
tempus neminem manet
Ancient Wisdom
time waits for no man
Third Story
Thought Experiment
Philosophy
the story an impartial third-party observer might tell; a version of events any unbiased person could agree on
Thucydides Trap
tilting at windmills
Metaphor
Arts
A reference to the novel Don Quixote, denoting the ongoing pursuit of useless attacks against an implacable enemy. Ineffectual activity undertaken strenuously and loudly.
time dilation
Thought Experiment
Science
time series data
Method
Statistics
A collection of measurements taken over time that create a graph when plotted.
time value of money
Theory
Economics
tipping point
Model
Systems Theory
Tit-for-Tat
Method
Strategy
too many cooks in the kitchen
Metaphor
Culture
A metaphor connoting that too many people are currently involved in the decision-making process.
touchstone
Metaphor
Myth/Metaphor
A black stone once used to judge the purity of gold or silver β now signifying a standard against which something should be judged.
Tower of Babel
Metaphor
Religion
A tale in the book of Genesis in the Bible that purports to explain the origins of different languages, via narrative about God confounding the speech of humans trying to build a tower to reach Him.
trade-offs
Model
Economics
tragedy of the commons
Experimental finding
Economics
An economic term for a situation in which unfettered access to a resource can lead to resource depletion through uncoordinated behavior -- a classic example is overfishing. A commonly-pooled (aka public) resource is overconsumed, but underinvested in.
transitivity
Term
Math
trickle down economics
Method
Economics
Right-wing economics, also known as Reaganomics, supply side economics, fiscal conservatism, tax cut policy, and austerity.
trolly problem
Thought Experiment
Philosophy
turtles all the way down
Theory
Philosophy
twin paradox
Thought Experiment
Science
tyranny of choice
Experimental finding
Systems Theory
The paradoxical effect that having too many options to choose from actually decreases the likelihoof of being able to reach a decision at all.
Unicode
Term
Computers
union
Term
Math
In set theory, a union of sets is a set which consists of all the members of all the sets.
universal law
Philosophy
Philosophy
usury
Term
Economics
The act of charging interest on borrowed money; for thousands of years there have been religous proscriptions against lending money with interest in various societies.
utility
Theory
Philosophy
variance
Math
Statistics
The amount of variation within a data set.
Veil of Ignorance
Model
Philosophy
Philosopher John Rawls' model for making better ethical decisions, in which the decider chooses a course of action based on the predicate that s/he will not know which of the groups or persons affected by the decision they personally would be. This method creates natural incentives to find the fairest outcome for all groups, since the decider doesn't know which group they will "end up in" on the other side of the decision.
Venn Diagram
Model
Math
via negativa
Method
Philosophy
An indirect description of a thing by describing what that thing is not.
Volcker rule
Legal precedent
Economics
Financial rule preventing consumer lending banks from speculative trading in securities for their own profit.
vulnerability
Experimental finding
Psychology
wave function
Scientific Law
Science
wave-particle duality
Experimental finding
Science
wheel of life
Symbol
Religion
when life gives you lemons
Metaphor
Philosophy
You try to make lemonade! Another way of saying, "let's try and make the best of this unfortunate situation."
winner-take-all market
Economics
wisdom of crowds
Model
Social psychology
Derived from the Diversity Prediction Theorem: the average prediction of a group of individuals will be more accurate than the prediction of one average member.
wolves and sheep
Metaphor
Philosophy
wormhole
Theory
Physics
A sort of tunnel formed on the surface of a black hole that may connect two different regions of space
Who were the early conservatives? They emerged out of the group of former fascists and Nazi sympathizers in the US.
1930s opposition to Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal
2 main right-wing factions then:
libertarians — right-wing economics faction led by Milton Friedman, Ludwig von Mises, & Friedrich Hayek. Favors dramatically cutting taxes (aka trickle down economics), reducing social spending, while increasing the military budget dramatically — a math that does not add up, numerically or historically speaking.
The ascension of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States gave permission to all the closet fascists practicing ketman as conservatives to come right on out and let their freak bigotry flags fly.
All the little white power sleeper cells and now networked anti-government militia groups were let off the chain and invited to take a swing at our national sovereignty and see if they could steal the American government for him. Thanks to the strength and integrity of numerous civil servants and others they did not succeed — however, the festering mass of fascism isn’t going anywhere much just yet.
It’s also no accident this whole Twitter takeover drama is happening just before the mid-terms. The right-wing needs to inject some juice into the splintering base, some of whom are wavering as the actual (intentionally) obscured vision of the GOP leaks out (i.e. destroy government altogether).
Longtermism is an extreme ideology that has gained traction in Silicon Valley and the technosphere: both Elon Musk and Peter Thiel are acolytes. In this worldview, the far future of humanity will have colonized the stars and number in the trillions — therefore making all the puny little humans alive today essentially worthless and expendable in their eyes (except themselves, of course). As long as climate change doesn’t kill *absolutely all* 7 billion of us, we’ll manage to soldier on — therefore we should focus on AI instead, they say.
Their breezy tossing aside of morality on anything with effects less than 100 years is also chilling. By use of the frame-shifting device of the far far future, longtermism is able to render basically anything a rounding error of no importance, from the Holocaust to the dropping of atomic bombs to the famines of Stalin and Mao. That is just not going to sit well with most people who have empathy — which is most people.
Great Replacement Theory is a conspiracy theory animating the radical right wing that claims non-white immigrants are being brought to the U.S. and the west to “replace” white voters with their woke political and cultural agenda. Those who believe this white supremacist ideology see routine immigration policy as a white genocide and extinction of the white race. They also point to low birth rates among white europeans and the promotion of multiculturalism, or “wokeness,” as responsible for the alleged effects.
The term “Great Replacement” was popularized by French writer Renaud Camus in his 2011 book “Le Grand Remplacement.” According to Camus, the alleged replacement is a result of the European elites intentionally allowing mass immigration and promoting multiculturalism to undermine national identity and traditional Western culture.
The Great Replacement Theory has been widely discredited and criticized by experts, as it is based on misinformation, selective data, and biased interpretations. It is important to note that this theory often fuels xenophobia, bigotry, racism, and anti-immigrant sentiments, and has been linked to a number of far-right extremist attacks worldwide.
Demographic changes in Western countries are driven by a complex interplay of factors such as economic migration, political instability, globalization, and changing birth rates. These factors are not part of any orchestrated plot, but rather reflect broader social, economic, and political trends. Unfortunately, it’s in the interest of the right-wing to keep its rabid base riled up — and the Great Replacement Theory conspiracy is an effective tool for generating anger and injecting vitriol into the broader political discourse.
I’ve been reading Erich Fromm’s Escape from Freedom and it’s synthesizing a few things together for me in new ways — prime among them the realization that collective narcissism is the shared root ideology of both Christian nationalism and Nazism. First off, I’d recommend it:
Next, I’d like to thank it for reminding me about the insidious dangers of Calvinism and the Protestant Work Ethic, as described in sociologist Max Weber‘s most cited work in the history of the field. Beyond the problematic authoritarianism of John Calvin as a person himself, the ideology of predestination coupled with a paradoxical obsessive compulsion with working yourself ragged is a noxious brew that fed the Protestant extrusion of American capitalism as well as the murderous violence of its Manifest Destiny.
Reformation Ideologies
Calvin — like Luther before him — was reacting to the social and economic upheavals of his day which, during the Reformation, were all about the middle class emerging from the security and certainty of feudalism into a far more dynamic world of competition, isolation, and aloneness. It held promise but also peril — hope along with, inescapably, fear.
During the Middle Ages, humankind had retreated from the aspirational virtuousness of the Greek and Roman civilizations and descended into almost 1000 years of darkness, as compared to the dazzling intellectual brilliance of the millennium before it. Those who would prefer cultish cowering in self-righteous ignorance over the humility of fallible science and critical thinking managed to topple a glittering civilization and scatter it to the wolves. It was a return to cruel and arbitrary happenstance, a horrifying Hobbesian world of pestilence and pathology.
Some of us have been boning up on this topic for about 6 years already, while others are just tuning in now based on the horrors of recent events. It can be overwhelming to come in cold, so here — don’t go it alone! Take this:
Putin’s war against the west
President Biden “declassified” an intelligence analysis many of us had arrived at some time ago: Russian president Vladimir Putin is a cruel revanchist leader who will stop at nothing to claw out a larger legacy before he dies. His goal is nothing less than reconstituting the former Soviet Union and restoring the “glory” of the Russian empire of yesteryear. And for some reason he thinks the world community is going to let him get away with his delusional fever dreams of conquest — as if fever dreams of Mongol domination are still de rigueur.
Putin has hated democracy for a long time — since before the Berlin Wall fell where he was stationed in East Berlin as a young KGB agent, taking the news hard. Now, he has many fifth column confederates aiding and abetting him from within the United States — a number of them brazenly, and openly. It is getting harder and harder for those treasonous types to “hide out” in the folds of disinformation, misinformation, and plausible deniability. The play is being called — and everyone will need to decide if they’re for democracy or authoritarianism.
Meanwhile Bob has made The Authoritarians available free of charge here, and I absolutely encourage you to read it — it’s fascinating stuff and he’s an entertaining as well as informative writer. In this post I’ll do my best to summarize the main points of the book, because I know people are busy and not everyone has time to read a whole book much less scrape together hours to volunteer and do activist work.
Bob Altemeyer The Authoritarians
Dr. Altemeyer defines authoritarianism as “something authoritarian followers and authoritarian leaders cook up between themselves.” Followers submit blindly to the leaders and give them too much free rein to do anti-democratic, brutal, and tyrannical things. Power corrupts absolutely, and power seems to corrupt authoritarians most of all.
He classifies the authoritarians into three primary groups:
Authoritarian followers — typically this group follows the established authorities in their society, including government officials, clergy and traditional religious leaders, business leaders, and self-appointed gurus of all stripes. They tend to have a “Daddy and Mommy know best” approach to the government, believing that authorities are above the law. Psychologically, authoritarian followers exhibit a high degree of submission to authorities they accept as legitimate, high levels of aggression in the name of those authorities (if so called upon), and a high degree of conventionalism and conformity. They tend to be bigots, with prejudices against many types of groups.
Authoritarian leaders — tend to be Social Dominators, who long to control people and affect others’ lives. They are overall highly prejudiced and bigoted, do not believe in the American value of equality, and feel justified in wielding great power over society with little qualification and even less self-reflection. They believe the world is divided into wolves and sheep, and they have no qualms fooling the sheep into opening the pasture gate so they can eat. “Might makes right” is their personal motto.
Double Highs — about 10% of any given sample score highly on both the social dominance test and the right-wing authoritarian scale, which is odd given the social dominator’s otherwise reluctance to be submissive. They exhibit extra prejudice and extra hostility — beyond either the social dominators or the RWAs. They tend to be the “religious” social dominators, who had a fundamentalist upbringing, or had a conversion experience as an adult (George W. Bush, e.g.) and now tend to believe in some form of Strict Father Morality.
More traits of authoritarian followers
They tend to feel more endangered in potentially threatening situations that most people do (think: Dick Cheney‘s descent into bunker mentality after 9/11)
More afraid than most people; they tend to have overactive amygdalas
Were raised by their parents to be afraid of others — both parents and children have told researchers so
More likely to issue threats than low authoritarians
Most orthodox — were raised fundamentalist and are highly repressed
Most hardline
Believe “whatever I want is right”
Paradoxically, want to “be normal” very badly — they tend to get tugged by the people around them
Authoritarian aggression
Authoritarians prefer not to have fair fights out in the open — they tend to aggress when they believe their hostility is welcomed by established authority, or supports established authority. They also often aggress when they have an obvious physical advantage over the target — making women, children, and others unable to defend themselves as ideal targets. These cowards have the gall to feel morally superior to the innocent victims they assault in an ongoing asymmetrical warfare between supremacists and marginalized groups.
To make matters worse, authoritarians do their dirty deeds in the shadows and scream bloody murder at anyone who dares try and expose their dark secrets to the light. Their theatrical and performative self-righteousness is just an act to avoid accountability and responsibility for what they do — even unto themselves.
Moreover, authoritarians are extra punitive against lawbreakers they don’t like (though exceedingly permissive for lawbreakers they *do* like, which is infuriatingly hypocritical), because they believe fervently in the value of punishment. Many advocate child corporal punishment — spanking and worse — for children as young as 1 year old. Authoritarian followers tended to report feelings of “secret pleasure” when hearing of the misfortunes of high school classmates who had misbehaved, believing they got what they deserved in life.
It would be accurate to think of authoritarians as “little volcanoes of hostility,” almost heat-seeking their way into authority-approved ways to erupt and release their pent-up anger. Many of them do not, and will not ever realize that their fundamentalist upbringing has sadly left their brains underdeveloped, and ill-equipped to navigate the modern world with its rapid changes, accelerating inequality, advancing climate change, and political instability.
Lethal Union
When a social dominator becomes an authoritarian leader, and leads his authoritarian followers down malevolent roads from informing to threatening to vigilanteism, researchers refer to this state of affairs as a “lethal union.” It’s a highly dangerous and volatile time for a democracy, one warranting caution and vigilance from concerned citizens.
Throughout history, these are the situations that tend to devolve further into aggression, political violence, civil war, genocide, and worse. We need to be very damn careful about who we elect as our leaders — we cannot allow our government to be captured by special interests and the narrow, quixotic delusions of old billionaires outshining daddy and staving off death.
More books about authoritarians
If you’ve already read Bob Altemeyer The Authoritarians, or you’re just looking for more resources on authoritarianism — here’s a list to get started:
It is going to become increasingly more difficult to discern from fact from fiction, here in this world that seemingly quickly flipped from a world of The Enlightenment to a world of dark disinformation. From artificial intelligence to vast propaganda machines, from deep fakes to fake lives — it’s going to require more from us to be able to detect what’s real.
Already we can’t rely on old cues, signposts, and tropes anymore. We’re less credulous about credentials, and trust isn’t automatic based on caste, title, or familiar status markers.
Go slow and look for mimics
Here’s one key to more accurate reality detection: take more time to spot the fake. Don’t judge too quickly, because it can take time to weed out the fakesters and the hucksters — some are decent mimics and can fool people who are in a hurry, not paying much attention, or attracted to some irrelevant other quality about the ersatz knockoff and thus forms an affinity with them based on something else entirely. Some drink the Kool-Aid for various reasons.
Clues of fraud
Those who cling absurdly to abstract symbols are often fakes. And in general, any folks who feel like they are just trying a little bit too hard might be fake. Then, of course, there are the full-on zealots and religious nutbags. These theocrats are definitely faux compassionate Jesus-lovers. What better cloak than the robes of a religious man (or, less frequently, woman)? It’s the perfect disguise.
No wonder so many child abusers hide out in churches of all kinds, from famously the Catholic to the more recently-outed (though not surprising) Evangelical Southern Baptist Church. No one will ever suspect them, or want to confront them if they do. Plus, they have Democrats to absurdly try and pin the blame on repeatedly, despite a lack of a shred of evidence.
We need to know what our opponents are up to. There is much to learn.
Much more to come — stay tuned!
Behavior
Type
Definition
ad baculum
rhetorical
Appeal to violence
ad hominem
rhetorical
Attack the person instead of their ideas.
aggression
tactical
Issue threats and/or violate boundaries.
argumentum ad passiones
emotional
"I feel it (or I feel *strongly* about it), therefore it must be true."
assault
tactical
Assert the opposite of reality
rhetorical
Simply state the opposite of what is true
banning books
legislative
Book banning is a form of censorship in which government officials or organizations remove books from libraries, school reading lists, or bookstore shelves because of objections to content, ideas, or themes.
Believes oneself to be superior and requiring of association with high-status people
pathological
Related to supremacy and collective narcissism, this worldview is one of extreme entitlement and expected deference.
Black & white thinking
cognitive
A pattern of thought characterized by polar extremes, sometimes flip-flopping very rapidly from one extreme view to its opposite. A symptom of many personality disorders.
Blame Democrats
rhetorical
"I'm not responsible for my bad behaviors: DEMOCRATS ARE!"
bullying
emotional
Intimidating, harming, or coercing -- usually of someone who is perceived as vulnerable.
charisma
emotional
Cloying, often superficial or fake charm
charm
emotional
Compelling attractiveness that fascinates, allures, or delights
closed mind
cognitive
not open to an argument from facts
Cognitive dissonance
cognitive
Having an incongruent value system, or believing mutually exclusive things -- as well as behaving without consistent ethical principles; a sense of randomness to one's approach to life.
cognitive distortion
Communicate by emotional contagion
behavior
Communication is difficult or impossible
behavior
confusion
Consistent inconsistency
conspiracy theories
contempt
counterattack
Creating unnecessary chaos
emotional
Create conflict to get attention and get a chance to get what you want.
Crocodile tears
emotional
DARVO
tactical
Deception
demagoguery
emotional
Seeks support through an appeal to desires and prejudices of voters instead of rational arguments.
Demand mirroring of their emotions
behavior
Denying plain facts
Diverting attention
Do not perform emotional work
behavior
emotional abuse
Emotional manipulation
emotional
Envious of others and believes others are envious
pathological
Exaggerating one's achievements and talents
pathological
Expecting special favors and unquestioning compliance with your expectations
pathological
extortion
fears change
weakness
fears difference
weakness
flying monkeys
fraud
frivolous lawsuits
Gaslighting
Cause you to question your own sanity -- very dangerous to do this to people. The effects are long-lasting and difficult to do; it can take many years to heal from this kind of insidious abuse.
Grandiose sense of self-importance
pathological
grandiosity
grooming
Hard to give to; reject efforts to give help
behavior
high need for closure
Prefers to resolve situations quickly and reduce uncertainty as immediately as possible
hypocrisy
Consistently fail to live up to their own stated ideals, and the things they demand of others.
idealize, devalue, discard
The narcissistic abuse cycle
Interpsonally exploitative; takes advantage of others
pathological
irrational anger
Lacks empathy; unwillingness to recognize the needs and feelings of others
pathological
lawsuits
Love to play victim and hero
emotional
They want your emotions oscillating all over the place, because it gives them more opportunities to swoop in and capture you at a vulnerable moment and earn your trust -- so they can violate it.
Lying
Malignant envy
Masters of deceptive and misleading stories
rhetorical
Mind games
emotional
Motivated Reasoning
cognitive
They start with the premise they want and work from there -- they are bad scientists, but good lawyers.
Moving the goalposts
tactical
narcissistic rage
narcissistic supply
One-way street
Expect loyalty from you while offering none in return
oppression
panem et circuses
Paranoia
emotional
Nurturing and maintaining enemies
Passive-aggression
emotional
Perjury
legal
Lying under oath, in court or in a deposition
Phobic
emotional
Their main aspect is fear, from bouts of phobia indoctrination
Play the victim
emotional
Preoccupied with fantasies of unlimited success
pathological
Projection
cognitive
Accusing your opponent of doing the thing that you yourself are doing.
Provoking anger
behavior
repression
Requires excessive admiration
pathological
Resist repairing relationships
behavior
retconning
rewriting history
rigidity
sadism
emotional
scapegoating
tactical
Just blame Democrats, no matter how absurd
secrecy
Covert actions; lack of transparency
See roles as sacred and inviolable
behavior
Seek enmeshment, not emotional intimacy
behavior
Selective Exposure
self-aggrandizement
emotional
Sense of entitlement; expects others to make unreasonable sacrifices
pathological
shame
emotional
Shows arrogant, haughty behaviors and attitudes
pathological
Splitting
cognitive
See the world as with them or against them (splitting)
stonewalling
stubbornness
supremacy
emotional
Take a thing and turn it into its moral opposite
Label a good thing bad so you can smear it, or a bad thing good so you can support it
Motivated reasoning is a common daily phenomenon for all of us, assuming we’re human and/or interact with other humans. It’s a cognitive science term that refers to a type of emotional bias in which we have a tendency to prefer decisions or justifications based on their personal desirability vs. an unbiased examination of the facts.
Thinking and feeling aren’t anywhere near as “separate” in the brain as is commonly believed — they are very intertwined, and it’s also incredibly difficult for us to understand or detect from moment to moment which parts of our stream of consciousness are “thinking” and which are “feeling.”
What’s worse, we have other biases that exacerbate the motivated reasoning bias — like the “Lake Wobegon Effect” wherein we tend to overestimate our own abilities vs. others. So, we’re overconfident — at the same that we are less rational than we think we are. That can be a volatile combination — especially when found in individuals who hold a lot of power, and make decisions that affect people’s lives.
For we know not what we do
It can be infuriating to deal with people who are using motivated reasoning to make decisions instead of critical thinking: they tend to work backwards from the conclusion they wish to reach, and ignore evidence that contradicts their pre-existing beliefs. The way they deal with the cognitive dissonance of conflicting information is simply to toss the new information out, instead of evaluating it. Generally, though, they are unaware that their brain is in the habit of making that easier choice, and tend to get angry when this is pointed out.
President Biden and Vice President Harris commemorated the 1 year anniversary of the January 6 attack on our democracy with morning speeches and a day of remembrance inside the Capitol rotunda with Representatives and Senators giving a number of moving speeches in their respective chambers. The tone on TV news and blue check Twitter was somber and reflective. The President referred to the violent events of Jan 6, 2021 as a terrorist attack on our democracy, and said that the threat was not yet over — that the perpetrators of that event still hold a “dagger at the throat of America.”
Only two Republicans were present in chambers when the moment of silence was held for the nation’s traumatic experience one year ago — Representative Liz Cheney and her father, Dick Cheney, the former VP and evil villain of the George W. Bush years. That this man — a cartoonish devil from my formative years as a young activist — was, along with his steel-spined force of nature daughter, one half of the lone pair that remained of the pathetic tatters of the once great party of Lincoln.
What do you do if you’re in a 2-party system and one of the parties is just sitting on the sidelines, heckling (and worse!?)? How do you restore confidence in a system that so many people love to hate, to the point of obsession? Will we be able to re-establish a sense of fair play, as Biden called on us to do today in his speech?
The Big Lie is about rewriting history
We don’t need to spend a ton of time peering deeply into discerning motive with seditionists — we can instead understand that for all of them, serving the Big Lie serves a function for them in their lives. It binds them to their tribe, it signals a piece of their “identity,” and it signals loyalty within a tight hierarchy that rewards it — all while managing to serve their highest goal of all: to annoy and intimidate liberals. Like all bullies, their primary animating drive is a self-righteous conviction that “I am RIGHT!” at all times and about all things, and that disagreement is largely punishable by death or, in lieu of that, dark twisted fantasies of death passed off lamely and pathetically as “just joking, coworker!”
Research has shown that emotional repression causes authoritarianism (Altemeyer, Adorno, Stenner et al). Fundamentalist religious groups favor the most repression, culturally — ergo, fundamentalist groups are at the highest risk for nurturing authoritarian traits.
Emotional repression is the keystone of fundamentalist parenting. The strict application of “Biblical law” as cherry-picked by extremists is inherently contradictory & hypocritical, stunting emotional and psychological growth through corporal punishment and capricious applications of anger for sometimes opaque reasons.
When trusted caregivers apply physical violence to a developing mind, seeds of deep distrust and paranoia are planted. Children learn to “obey” by repressing negative parts of themselves so deeply they fall out of conscious awareness altogether & rule the personality “from below.”
Never being given the required emotional support to transcend the paradoxical human project of reconciling the positive & negative aspects inherent in all people, they become “arrested” at a moment of obsession with punishment as the only solution to every problem. They see the world in very black and white terms — the classic “you’re either with us or against us” zero-sum worldview in which everybody who doesn’t agree with you must be delegitimized and eradicated completely.